Abstract
Battery management systems require efficient battery
prognostics so that failures can be prevented, and efficient operation
guaranteed. In this work, we develop new models based on neural networks and
ordinary differential equations (ODE) to forecast the state of health (SOH) of
batteries and predict their end of life (EOL). Governing differential equations
are discovered using measured capacities and voltage curves. In this context,
discoveries and predictions made with neural ODEs, augmented neural ODEs,
predictor-corrector recurrent ODEs are compared against established recurrent
neural network models, including long short-term memory and gated recurrent units. The ODE models show good
performance, achieving errors of 1% in SOH and 5% in EOL estimation when
predicting 30% of the remaining battery’s cycle life. Variable cycling
conditions and a range of prediction horizons are analyzed to evaluate the
models’ characteristics. The results obtained are extremely promising for
applications in SOH and EOL predictions.
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